Xbox 360 to keep its momentum or will sales taper off?
Michael Pachter, famed Wedbush Morgan video game analyst, recently came out with his prediction ahead of the NPD figures. In his prediction, he places the Xbox 360 way ahead of the PS3. Pachter has been wrong on a few occasions in predicting who will come out on top between the Xbox 360 and the PS3. However, Pachter may have hit the nail on the head with his latest prediction.
According to Videogaming247, Pachter predicts that the NPD figures will show that the Xbox 360 will win in a landslide victory. He indicated that the Xbox 360 will outsell the PS3 for the month of September by as much as 125k units.
He states:
We estimate sell-through of 600,000 Wii, 300,000 Xbox 360 and 175,000 PS3 consoles. Our console sell-through forecasts reflect our belief that supplies for Wii hardware increased this month, as some portion of increased Wii production that started in July likely finally found its way to retail late in the month. Similarly, we believe that Xbox 360 demand increased after the September price cuts, with some market share gain likely over the PS3.
With Microsoft lowering the price of every Xbox 360 model available, it is most likely that the Xbox 360 will outsell the PS3 for the month of September. However, if that is not the case, then Microsoft may have bigger problems to worry about than the red ring of death issue. With the Arcade model currently selling at $200, the entry price point has been cut dramatically from $280.
However, it seems that the Arcade model might not be what is driving the sales. According to Amazon, the Xbox 360 Pro bundle is leading the charge ahead of the Elite and the Arcade, which is dead last. It seems that the consumers have figured it out, the Arcade is practically useless without a storage device.
Since it is likely that the Xbox 360 sold well last month, it is now a question of whether the Xbox 360 can keep its momentum into the holiday season. Historically speaking, the PS3 and the Xbox 360 have had surges in sales after a price cut. However, the sales spike usually die out within a month or two. With this in mind, I believe the Xbox 360 sales spike will drop the following month, but will pick up again, going into December. It looks like we will all just have to sit back and watch how it all unfolds during this holiday season.
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36 Responses to “Xbox 360 to keep its momentum or will sales taper off?”
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October 14th, 2008
Michael Pachter should be fire this moron. That doesn’t have a life. He needs to go back to business school.
October 14th, 2008
Bah who cares.
They both have a big enuff install base to make certain ‘big titles’ sell by the boatload (e.g. GTA4).
October 14th, 2008
As much as I have a running joke about Pachter and his more miss than hit predictions, it doesn’t take a genius to predict that the 360 is going to win September, and more than likely October. I think he’s actually got September right for once.
October 14th, 2008
harry sachz:
1. What is the color of the sun?
2. Have you ever seen pussy?
3. Is jealousy your favorite thing to do?
4. Do you know the meaning of the word “Bitterness”?
5. Xbox 360 is that your life?
6. Do know what quality means?
7. Was better losing money from a product or gaining?
8. Do you love old dated technology?
9. Have you ever played with a rival console?
10. Do you enjoy having almost nothing exclusive for this holiday?
11. Would you love to have a massive enormous list of of hot A+ exclusives?
12. Do you love paying or getting things free?
13. Do you thing next year games will fit on DVD9?
14. Do actually believe there will any new console from Microsoft?
15. Do you believe all the trash you write.
16. Do you want to own a PLAYSTATION 3 really badly? HELL YEAH
Cya, you just got own.
October 14th, 2008
Ever since the Xbox’s price cut, I have been periodically checking Amazon just to see what would happen. It looked to me that the PS3 has been consistently selling more units (at least on Amazon) than the 360.
And at this very moment Little Big Planet is at number 2, beating Fable and Gear… PS3 is at 11, while no model of the 360 is on the top 100. Am I reading there site the wrong way or what?
October 14th, 2008
Ever since the Xbox’s price cut, I have been periodically checking Amazon just to see what would happen. It looked to me that the PS3 has been consistently selling more units (at least on Amazon) than the 360.
And at this very moment Little Big Planet is at number 2, beating Fable and Gears…. PS3 is at 11, while no model of the 360 is on the top 100. Am I reading there site the wrong way or what?
October 14th, 2008
@Barnabee.
More than likely, the people that buy the 360 go to the stores to get it. Would you want the fragile 360 shipped through the mail to you????
October 14th, 2008
Harry i sincirely hope you answer all of those questions to prevent these long comments
October 14th, 2008
@phranctoast:
No. You do have a good point. I wouldn’t buy any electronics through the mail. The only reason I brought it up, was because the article used Amazon as a reference. I don’t doubt that the 360’s sales are indeed up after the price cut. But Amazon isn’t showing that exactly.
October 14th, 2008
*awkward cough*
…..anyways, Harry, I’m inclined to agree with you that the 360 will win September. But I can’t see it outdoing the PS3 in October, considering the hype surrounding LittleBigPlanet. Just yesterday I got a Facebook message from a college buddy I haven’t talked to in over a year asking for my PSN ID so we can play LBP together. Alot of people are taking notice of this title, man, you can’t deny that.
-Arvis
October 14th, 2008
Harry that last Comment # 16 was OOUUCH!!!!!!!! Dame I think that was one of the best lines I’ve heard yet. I’ll have to use that one. Dame that was just dirty and unfortunatel it’s the dame truth.
October 14th, 2008
Didn’t you get the memo Harry? The Fuhrer does what he wants
October 14th, 2008
Harry- why would you even answer Ivan on the dribble he wrote. It really brings you down to his level. And by the way the joke about running down his mothers leg is older than you are. You should really get some new material if you want to be a smart ass.
The only reason Ivan keeps posting at you is because you post back at him. Try ignoring him, we will all be better off for it.
October 14th, 2008
LMFAO, the obvious answer from a fanboy nice i knew you were not qualify to answer none of them. I just own you yo got stuck lol. Better luck next time…
LoL…
I didn’t know they delete your post and not my post i wonder i why that shit is be back later gotta go play PS3……/././.
October 14th, 2008
You may not speak TARD, but you write it like the best of em’
October 14th, 2008
where are all the posts going?
And good for you harry. I’m sure you’ll love your Sony products. Don’t worry about wiping your ass with the shares. The stock market already did that for you…
October 14th, 2008
Lol harry sachz is getting played by everyone here for his childish bullshit and bad come backs. I won’t ever ove with LOSERS. I’m not a fag like harry sachz sorry to disappoint you, i have a wife.
October 14th, 2008
‘i have a wife.’
You got a wife with THAT moustache?!?
Ah I couldn’t help it. I love you really Ivan, ill show you later
October 14th, 2008
SW:
Lol old pictures… Nice thanks.
harry sachz:
I bet your piss off LMFAO for rel get hobby stop spamming.
October 14th, 2008
harry sachz:
LoL stop bitching HOMO go play with your new bitch Soulja Boy.
October 14th, 2008
harry sachz
Hijacking other people’s name what a lowlife loser bitter because Xbox 360 is dying…
October 14th, 2008
I think I’ll refrain from visiting this site regularly until this troll in the comments has been dealt with.
-Arvis
October 14th, 2008
So my question is this
When is blorge going to enable user registrations AND anonymous posting (like it is now) that way you can stop all the ‘faking’ and keep the ‘passer-by’ posters you want
October 14th, 2008
Good question SW. It’s sad what this has come to. I used to enjoy coming here. Now I feel like I’m visiting a junior high.
October 14th, 2008
*looks around cautiously*
This thread looks… emptier than I remember from just a few hours ago. Is it safe to come out?
-Arvis
October 14th, 2008
They trimmed the fat so to speak.
Look at it this way, at least you’re keeping someone at Blorge busy and earning thier $$$
October 14th, 2008
Hahaha it seems like someone hijacked my username again overnight. Sounds like he/she pissed some people off too. Anyone remember what he/she said? Just out of curiosity.
October 14th, 2008
SW, i’ve been asking for that for a while now.
October 14th, 2008
@ Arvis,
I said more than likely October as LBP is not getting released until the 23rd. But keeping in mind that Fable 2 is coming out on the same day.
October 14th, 2008
@Harry Sachz
Fable 2 looks really good but I can’t see it being much of a system seller. LBP on the other hand is constantly gaining momentum in appeal to both casual and hardcore with more and more exposure from the media.
October 14th, 2008
I don’t know which will sell better tbh.
I’m getting Fable 2 don’t get me wrong
but LBP is being hyped/marketted as a groundbreaking game. Fable 2 does have alot of cool stuff (heck yeah I’m making some swords for gold 
) but doesn’t seem to be getting a whole bunch of hype and attention other than from 360 sites.
Even so, I did enjoy fable (even if it did not deliver all they originally promised) and I am sure this game will be fun too. I just hope that ‘one button’ sword play is fun…
October 14th, 2008
LBP=Niche, nuff said.
October 14th, 2008
I’m looking forward to renting my wives out in Fable 2. I’ll be more gangster than Ivan.
October 14th, 2008
lmao.
October 15th, 2008
“I’m looking forward to renting my wives out in Fable 2. I’ll be more gangster than Ivan.”
You can do that in Saints Row 2 too!
Oh wait…they’re not called wives.
October 16th, 2008
Awesome, that’s definitely going to be a rental for me.